





Executive Summary
* Traditional retirement planning assumes that a household's expenditures will increase a certain amount each year throughout retirement. Yet data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor's Consumer Expenditure Survey show that household expenditures actually decline as retirees age. Consequently, under traditional retirement planning, consumers tend to oversave for retirement, underspend in their early years of retirement, or postpone retirement.
* "Reality" retirement planning assumes that a household's real spending will decrease incrementally throughout retirement. The result is that clients can make more realistic retirement saving assumptions and will be able to retire sooner.
* The paper analyzes the Consumer Expenditure Survey data to determine whether people are spending less voluntarily as they age or out of financial necessity or generational differences. The conclusion is that reduced spending is voluntary.
* Using Monte Carlo simulation, the paper runs hypothetical retirement income projections comparing traditional retirement planning and reality retirement planning. Under the traditional approach, the couple's nest egg would appear to be depleted by age 80. Under the reality approach, the nest egg at age 80 would be over $2 million.
* Such dramatic differences not only have implications for retirement planning, but for related issues such as estate, tax, and investment planning.


CdnTrader wrote:CPP may well be there, but don't include it in your calculations, and it will be a bonus later.

Seeing as how CPP is better funded than many if not most private DB plans, does your admonition also apply to them?

I don't smoke.What are you smokin' this morning?
Unless you've been unemployed or worked outside Canada for all of your life, you do. It's called CPP.I don't have a pension.



Chuck wrote:Getting back to the main thrust of the article. I think it is very insightful. I think many folks here have already recognized it to be true (that one spends less as one ages, healthcare excepted).
I was also intriged by the net worth quintiles by age group. The older the wealthier seems to be the trend. Kind of flies in the face of the "what about poor fixed income seniors" hue and cry that has so much influence in politics. It appears that along with increasing their wealth, seniors become more adept at manipulating the system.

We've also heard that we need 70 or 80 or 90% of our current income in retirement

I assume the rest of the world Totally understood what I stated about CPP being treated as a bonus

dakota wrote:I have heard similar comments made since the inception of CPP!


Bylo Selhi wrote:Then a certain finance minister with prime ministerial aspirations initiated substantial reforms, including an increase in premiums to nearly 20% (employer plus employee.)
Bylo Selhi wrote:These days CPP not only has a clean bill of health and is considered fully funded way past our lifetimes, but is the envy of the rest of the world (including Nirvana-to-the-south.)


Thanks.adrian2 wrote:Correction: nearly 10% (9.9% = 4.95% employer + 4.95% employee).
Look at the historical contribution rates which are considerably lower. Can anyone retire on a conservative portfolio that's funded from 3.6% of their working income? The almost-triple current contribution rates are intended to correct what would have been an unsustainable situation. In effect younger people today are overcontributing to help pay for the pensions of retirees who undercontributed to theirs.Envy of the rest of the world? Don't think so. There are many countries in which the state sponsored pension is something that one can live on, alone. In Canada, after 40 years of contributing the most you can get is about $10k a year (25% of average wage). That's a good start, but hardly enough on its own.

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests