
Antoni wrote:Not so long ago, one looked in vain for information on this cost. Now, it is reported: one has just to look for it.


Wallace wrote:If the TER was very low - indicating that the fund manager did not do a lot of trading - why would you need to pay the MER of an actively-trading manager in the first place?
You would be ahead by an amount equal to the MER just by buying the top ten listed companies in the fund and holding. Which is what the manager is doing anyway ... and charging you 2-3% for doing it.

Wallace wrote:If the TER was very low - indicating that the fund manager did not do a lot of trading - why would you need to pay the MER of an actively-trading manager in the first place?
You would be ahead by an amount equal to the MER just by buying the top ten listed companies in the fund and holding. Which is what the manager is doing anyway ... and charging you 2-3% for doing it.

Wallace wrote:If the TER was very low - indicating that the fund manager did not do a lot of trading - why would you need to pay the MER of an actively-trading manager in the first place?
You would be ahead by an amount equal to the MER just by buying the top ten listed companies in the fund and holding. Which is what the manager is doing anyway ... and charging you 2-3% for doing it.

Operabob wrote:Actually, it's a bit confusing because a couple of years ago someone advocated listing a Total Expense Ratio or TER which is the same as MER + TER or Trading Expense Ratio in Rob Carrick's article.

NormR wrote:Just buying the top 10 may be dangerous. The top ten have likely grown to prominence in the portfolio from much lower levels. They are likely to be more richly valued and potential sell candidates for the manager.
Symbol 2002 2007 5 yr %
price price Appreciation
RY 28 59 211
BNS 28 54 193
MFC 23 40 174
TD 45 69 153
NXY 20 71 350
SNC 10 32 320
SHC 18 45 250
GWO 18 35 194
TLM 5 22 440
CTC.A 30 79 263
Average appreciation 255
MD Equity 17 27 159

Wallace wrote:I realise the limitations of this n=1 study. I also realise the fact that doing the same math in a different time would produce different results. But it leads me to question the validity of diversification. It seems that the other 356 holdings may be the chains dragging the newly-launched ship to a halt.

sevimo wrote:Are you trying to draw far-reaching conclusions based on this fact?
I am sure that you can select 10 stocks from the other 356 that will outperform top 10. What does it tell us? Well, it tells us that hindsight is 20/20, but no one really tries to dispute that. Maybe it's the bottom 10 that produces superior results, did you check? Or numbers 10-20? Do you realy think you can formulate an investment strategy based on this data?
Also, assets that appreciate fast will increase their weight in a portfolio, floating towards the top of the value list.
I wish I could go back 5 years, and invest all my assets into my top-performing asset that I know today

Wallace wrote:The top ten funds in MD Equity account for 26.24% of 366 holdings. The MER is 1.43%, lower than most comparable funds. (I couldn't find the TER). I looked at the share price of the top ten funds over the last 5 years and compared the share price growth with the total fund's performance


Wallace wrote: (I couldn't find the TER)

Wallace wrote:NormR wrote:Just buying the top 10 may be dangerous. The top ten have likely grown to prominence in the portfolio from much lower levels. They are likely to be more richly valued and potential sell candidates for the manager.
Hi Norm,
In the past few years I have had the subjective impression that my own investments are doing far better than my mutual funds, Your post prompted me to do some research on my main mutual fund, MD Equity.
The top ten funds in MD Equity account for 26.24% of 366 holdings. The MER is 1.43%, lower than most comparable funds. (I couldn't find the TER). I looked at the share price of the top ten funds over the last 5 years and compared the share price growth with the total fund's performance:
- Code: Select all
Symbol 2002 2007 5 yr %
price price Appreciation
RY 28 59 211
BNS 28 54 193
MFC 23 40 174
TD 45 69 153
NXY 20 71 350
SNC 10 32 320
SHC 18 45 250
GWO 18 35 194
TLM 5 22 440
CTC.A 30 79 263
Average appreciation 255
MD Equity 17 27 159
If I had invested $100,000 in the top ten funds five years ago I would have accumulated $254,800
The same amount invested in MD Equity would have produced $159,000.
I realise the limitations of this n=1 study. I also realise the fact that doing the same math in a different time would produce different results. But it leads me to question the validity of diversification. It seems that the other 356 holdings may be the chains dragging the newly-launched ship to a halt.

We argue that the difference in performance between pension and mutual funds is attributable to hidden costs in the mutual fund industry. Hidden costs generated by agreements between mutual funds and broker firms typically impact net investments.

Antoni wrote:An interesting news about an undisclosed part of the trading expenses in this article, which summarizes an in-depth study, linked in different ways to Canada. Keith Ambachtsheer is recognized as the instigator of the study and the Rotman International Center for Pension Management (ICPM) in Toronto, has provided a research grant.We argue that the difference in performance between pension and mutual funds is attributable to hidden costs in the mutual fund industry. Hidden costs generated by agreements between mutual funds and broker firms typically impact net investments.
Will we learn soon[er or later] of other questionable practices in mutual fund management?

There has been an ongoing debate in both the media and in academia about the value Canadian mutual funds produce for the people who invest their savings through these vehicles. With Canadians now entrusting $646 billion of their savings to mutual fund managers, the outcome of this debate is not inconsequential.1 Thus far, the debate stands unresolved, with Canada’s mutual fund industry successfully parrying the cuts and thrusts delivered by the industry’s critics over the years.
An important reason the debate has not been resolved is because there has not been a standard definition of the value mutual funds are supposed to deliver to their customers. If the debate is ever to be resolved, a clear value definition that all parties can agree on will first have to be established. Once established, the debate can finally be resolved through the measurement of actual outcomes against this value standard. Such measurement should ideally be done with databases that are large, and of verifiable quality.
The study described in this article meets these criteria. It starts with an operationally useful definition of value (see above), and includes a specific something else that can act as the suitable equivalent value benchmark. We propose the comparable investment results delivered by a large sample of Canadian pension funds as the equivalent value benchmark. If Canadian mutual funds provide fair value, they would deliver equal or better investment results than Canadian pension funds deliver with similar investment mandates.
The study specifically compares the net excess returns produced by a large sample of Canadian mutual funds with domestic equity mandates against the net excess returns produced by a large sample of the domestic equity components of Canadian pension funds. An important study finding is that, over the nine-year period from 1996 to 2004, the Canadian equity components of Canadian pension funds outperformed their Canadian equity market benchmark by an average +1.2% per annum, net of expenses. Over the same nine-year period, Canadian equity mutual funds with domestic mandates underperformed their Canadian equity market benchmark by an average -2.6% per annum, net of management fees, but before any applicable sales charges. Any such sales charges would reduce mutual fund net returns even further.
The measured Canadian mutual fund average return shortfall (before sales charges) of 3.8% per annum relative to similar mandates executed by Canadian pension funds suggests the average Canadian mutual fund has not been producing fair value for its customers.
<snip>
A key metric in the study was Net Value Added (NVA), which is calculated in two steps. A fund’s gross return minus the return on the relevant market benchmark over the same period is defined as a fund’s Gross Value Added (GVA) over that period. GVA minus the fund’s management expense ratio (MER) over the same period is defined as a fund’s NVA over that period.
<snip>
We summarize the key study findings summarized in Table 1 as follows:
• The average Canadian pension fund participant received positive value from domestic equity investments, both over the 1992-2004 (DB92 NVA=+0.76%) and 1996-2004 (DB96 NVA=+1.23%) periods. This included the deduction of an average 0.25% per annum for incurred investment expenses. In contrast, the average participant in Canadian domestic equity mutual funds over the 1996-2004 period gave up considerable value (MF96 NVA=-2.60%). This loss was entirely due to the average 2.75% per annum in incurred investment expenses. Any incurred sales charges would make the value-loss even more severe.5
• The average U.S. pension fund participant received marginally below market-equivalent performance from domestic equity investments, both over the 1992-2004 (DB92 NVA=-0.12%) and the 1997-2004 (DC97 NVA=-0.44%) periods. This included the deduction of an average 0.32% for incurred investment expenses in the DB funds. The average 0.62% deduction for the DC funds includes administrative expenses as well. In contrast, as in Canada, the average participants in U.S. domestic equity mutual funds over the 1992-2004 and 1997- 2004 periods gave up considerable value (MF92 NVA=-2.78%, MF97 NVA=-2.53%). Part of this loss was due to higher investment expenses. An even greater part was due to the average U.S. domestic equity mutual fund underperforming its benchmark even before expenses. Any incurred sales charges would make the value-loss even more severe. Are there explanations for these findings?
Possible explanations for the findings
Why would Canadian mutual fund investors subject themselves to an average wealth-loss of 3.8% per annum relative to implementing the same basic investment policy through Canadian pension funds? Or equivalently, why would Canadian mutual fund investors pay an average 2.75% (or more including sales charges) for an investment service that is available to Canadian pension fund participants for an average 0.25%, and which produced inferior investment results even before the far greater expenses? A number of possible answers come to mind:
• DB pension fund expenses are understated: this is in fact the case. However, even if additional costs related to such functions as oversight, custody fees, and other administrative costs were added to the pension fund domestic equity investment expenses of 0.25%, the total expense ratio might rise to 0.40%.6 A 0.15% reduction in the calculated average pension fund NVAs in no way affects the study’s basic findings.
• The pension fund results suffer from a positive selection bias and/or risk/style biases: the researchers tested for these possibilities and found (a) the CEM database covers 70% of all Canadian DB plan pension assets, and (b) no overall risk/style biases in either the equity components of the pension funds, or in the equity mutual funds. Another possible bias might be that the cited study only compared Canadian equity mandates and not, for example, broader balanced fund mandates. The problem there is comparability. For example, pension funds invest in such asset classes as private equity, real estate, and hedge funds, while mutual funds with balanced mandates do not.
• Only 40% of Canadian workers have access to pension fund management: this is in fact the case. With only 40% of the Canadian workforce covered by an occupational pension plan, the other 60% has to fend for itself. However, this fact by itself cannot explain why Canadian investors in domestic equity mutual funds pay an average annual fee of 2.75% (plus sales charges in many cases). For example, exposure to domestic equities could be acquired by buying and holding exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for a small fraction of the fees Canadian investors pay to mutual funds.7
• Mutual funds are sold, not bought: the market for investment management services is highly asymmetric, with the buyers of these services knowing far less about what they are buying than the sellers know about what they are selling. Information economics predicts that in such a market buyers will pay too much for too little. Research results from the field of behavioural finance support this conclusion. This research shows people to be generally unsophisticated, inconsistent, hesitant, and even irrational regarding financial matters, which creates the opportunity for the for-profit financial services industry to proactively step in and sell their products and services at too-high prices.8 The veracity of his third explanation is supported by the findings of a recent survey of 1865 Canadian mutual fund investors. When asked why they had bought mutual funds, 85% said they were persuaded by “someone who provided me with advice and guidance.”9 In our view, it is the combined effects of informational asymmetry and behavioural dysfunction on the part of the customers, and opportunistic acuity on the part of the suppliers, that best explains the findings summarized in Table 1. Mahoney (2004) reaches similar conclusions in a paper titled “Manager-Investor Conflicts in Mutual Funds.”
Indeed the consequences of this toxic combination of naïve mutual fund buyers and clever mutual fund sellers are materially worse than the numbers in Table 1 suggest. A U.S. mutual fund study based on 1985- 2004 data published in Jack Bogle’s book “The Battle for the Soul of Capitalism” found that the average U.S. equity mutual fund under performed the market by the same 2.8% that we reported in Table 1. However, individual investors under performed the average experience of the mutual funds they invested in by a further average 3.3% per annum. Why? Because many mutual fund investors switch from fund to fund in search of better performance, thus falling into the typical naïve investor “buy high, sell low” trap, and in the process generating further unrewarded sales and transaction expenses.10
We conclude with some thoughts about the implications of our findings.
Financial implications
To fully appreciate the impact and consequences of these findings, consider a Canadian worker earning a constant $50,000 per annum over a 40-year working life. A sum of $10,000 per annum is saved for retirement. The retirement fund earns a pre-expense 3% real rate of return over the 40-year period. At the end of the 40-year period, a 20-year annuity is bought with an embedded interest rate of 1.5%. Table 2 sets out the annual pension this worker will receive with investment expense ratios of (a) 0%, (b) 0.4%, (c) 1.5%, (d) 3%, and (e) 5%. Table 1 suggests that a 0%-0.4% ratio range is realistic for Canadian pension fund experience, depending on whether the average Canadian pension fund continues to offset its investment expenses with excess returns over market benchmarks.11 The 1.5%- 5% ratio range covers the wide range of possible expense ratio experiences for Canadian mutual fund investors. The 1.5% ratio is at the low end of the range, and assumes the investor does not engage in the kind of “buy high, sell low” activity that Bogle describes in his book. The 5% case assumes expense ratios at the high end of the range, as well as active engagement by mutual fund investors in the further wealth-reducing behaviours described by Bogle. Table 2 indicates that under realistic assumptions, the typical mutual fund investor faces a minimum pension reduction of 22% (i.e., from $41,000 per year to $32,000 per year) relative to the typical pension fund participant (i.e., with a mutual fund expense ratio of 1.5%, and a pension fund ratio of 0.4%). That pension reduction grows to 64% if we push the mutual fund expense ratio up to 5%, and offset the pension fund expense ratio of 0.4% with an equivalent amount of pre-expense excess return (i.e., the pension reduction now is from $45,000 to $16,000 per year). From a different perspective, if we apply the calculated annual net return shortfalls directly to the $646 billion Canadians have invested in mutual funds, their collective value loss is somewhere between $7 billion and $32 billion every year.
Public policy implications
The preceding financial analyses suggest that the vast majority of the 60% of the Canadian workforce who are not members of occupational pension plans will have a very difficult time generating adequate pensions by investing their retirement savings through the mutual fund sector. This is so despite the very high 20%-of-pay savings rate assumed in the example. The sales/investment expenses wedge being imposed by Canada’s for-profit financial services industry is simply too large. What, if anything, should Canada’s federal and provincial governments do about this reality? At one extreme, a caveat emptor approach leaves millions of Canadian workers caught in this financial trap the impossible task of discovering their own way out. At the other extreme, a benevolent dictator approach would ban mutual fund investing altogether and force all workers to save for retirement through a central low-cost government agency.
We favour a middle way: the “paternalistic libertarian” approach currently in the process of being adopted in the UK. The basic idea is to create a number of arm’s-length, expert, pension delivery organizations, and then to automatically enroll the entire non-covered part of the workforce into one of them. People can elect to opt out if they do not wish to participate. A minimum 7% of pay contribution rate is projected to increase the median income replacement rate for UK workers from 30% of working earnings (from Pillar 1 social security payments) to 50% of earnings. A key assumption in these calculations is that the pension delivery organizations operate in the sole best interests of plan participants, with expense ratios of 0.3%.12 Canada’s governments successfully reformed an important part of the universal Pillar #1 component of our pension arrangements in the 1990s (i.e., CPP/QPP). Our study indicates that they must now urgently turn their attention to reforming the occupational part of our retirement income system. Creating pension delivery organizations that are able and willing to produce fair value for all Canadian workers will be a critical element of this reform.



NormR wrote:If your goal is to match a fund's returns ...

Wallace wrote:NormR wrote:If your goal is to match a fund's returns ...
The point of the exercise was to try to decide whether the mutual fund has been a good investment compared to other options.
Wallace wrote:I haven't been able, so far, to find the top ten holdings of the fund for 2002,
Wallace wrote:so I compared the performance of the fund instead to XIU, the S&P TSX index fund, present value 78 and extrapolating back to a value of 43 in 2002. This would still make an investment of $100,000 in 2002 worth $189,000 today compared to $159,000 invested in the fund.
Still a significant difference, and probably what the ETF enthusiasts have been telling us all along.
Nevertheless, I can't shake the definite impression that investing in top-quality blue chip stocks that are going to be around 10-20 years from now is the way to go. With the exception of CTC.A, the other 9 out of the top ten would have been high on the list for anyone five years ago, so making $250,000 instead of 159,000 would have been feasible if I had been bright enough to see the light in 2002.
No?
Wallace wrote:PS: I've had enough experience with individual stocks now that short-term fluctuations don't bother me

Antoni wrote:The above post of Parvus is an adequate reply on the question of the relevance of the study for Canadian mutual funds.
Apart from that, the defense "U.S. is not us" is lame. Failing foresight, maybe we could use hindsight? At first, when the issues about late trading and market timing were raised in the U.S., many were thinking such things could not happen here. But it seems that eyes have been opened, and finally the very same was happening here.

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